Science & Research
My science and research coverage focuses on translating technical advances and challenges into insight that informs policy, economic and risk management decisions. This includes work within my current Risk Market News project.
While you can read my most recent science and research writing and report there, below and some selected highlights that popular with reader and subscribers.
The Prediction Markets Are Coming For Risk Markets and Insurance
Newsletter and associated podcast interview focused on how prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are pivoting to bets on extreme weather and physical risk events with an eye towards cutting into insurance industry market share. The story was cited by research analysts and industry professionals.
New Plans to Dismantle The Government's Catastrophe Insurance and Weather Science Infrastructure
Shortly after the release of Project 2025, Risk Market News was among the first outlets to highlight its proposals to dismantle U.S. science and climate infrastructure. The reporting was subsequently cited and linked by multiple publications, including The New York Times, ahead of their own coverage.
Newsletter and podcast interview with Dr. Neil Ferguson, Director of the Jameel Institute and Professor at Imperial College London, examining his work on COVID-19 risk modeling, how it informed major economic and public-policy decisions, and why those models ultimately became the focus of intense public and political backlash.
Federal Climate Report Challenges Insurance Industry's Extreme Weather Risk Models
Coverage of a Trump Administration report that directly contradicted market efforts to tie modeled extreme weather losses to insurance prices despite overwhelming scientific evidence.